How it works

We sell a fan chart of possible futures.

01 · The promise

A range with counted shares, not a single number.

  1. Most likely is an outcome, not a target

    The most likely line is the middle of the range: half of outcomes land above it, half below. Nobody trades a single line, so we never sell one.

  2. The 2 in 10 range

    2 in 10 finished outcomes should land inside the 2 in 10 range.

  3. The 8 in 10 range

    8 in 10 should land inside the 8 in 10 range. Anyone can draw a narrow fan chart; everything on this page exists to make these counts come true instead.

02 · Data in

Real markets, read together.

  1. Real markets, every day

    Daily settlement prices flow in from real exchanges for the sectors and the index it tracks. No synthetic feeds, no hand-picked histories.

  2. One panel, not many silos

    The markets arrive as one panel: the sectors and the index it tracks sit side by side, because what one does often matters to another.

03 · Joint patterns

  1. Markets do not move alone

    One sector leans on another, and the index leans on them all. Some pairs barely notice each other. The couplings a desk pays attention to are real, but few.

  2. Shocks travel the couplings

    When one sector jumps, the model lets that jump inform the markets coupled to it the same day, inside the reading and not after it. That is what "joint patterns" buys.

04 · The fan chart

From a ladder of levels to a fan chart of futures.

  1. A ladder of levels per day

    For each day ahead the model answers with a full range of levels around the middle, paired into ranges that hold 2 in 10, 4 in 10, 6 in 10, 8 in 10 outcomes.

  2. Levels pair into ranges, day by day

    Matching levels bracket a range with a counted share inside. Each day ahead gets its own column, and further out the columns stand taller: less is known, and the picture says so.

  3. Joined across days: the fan chart

    Connect each range’s edges day by day and the deliverable appears: a fan chart of possible futures.